Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.757532e-05 1.154392e-04 0.000134 0.000156 0.000179 0.000204 0.000231
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.620063e-05 9.031446e-05 0.000118 0.000151 0.000190 0.000233 0.000283
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.989888e-05 7.636738e-05 0.000109 0.000149 0.000198 0.000254 0.000322
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.782461e-05 6.501710e-05 0.000100 0.000146 0.000204 0.000272 0.000356
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.215911e-05 6.083664e-05 0.000100 0.000152 0.000220 0.000300 0.000402
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.406219e-05 5.169998e-05 0.000091 0.000148 0.000221 0.000311 0.000426
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.981945e-05 4.748586e-05 0.000089 0.000150 0.000232 0.000333 0.000463
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.500201e-05 4.131478e-05 0.000083 0.000147 0.000234 0.000344 0.000488
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.112895e-05 3.582883e-05 0.000078 0.000144 0.000236 0.000355 0.000511
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.239724e-06 2.907357e-05 0.000069 0.000136 0.000231 0.000355 0.000522
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.276534e-06 2.569060e-05 0.000066 0.000134 0.000235 0.000368 0.000547
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.917351e-06 2.321456e-05 0.000064 0.000135 0.000241 0.000383 0.000576
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.103302e-06 1.890122e-05 0.000059 0.000132 0.000245 0.000399 0.000611
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.090943e-07 1.450793e-05 0.000053 0.000128 0.000248 0.000413 0.000645
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.483601e-07 1.154631e-05 0.000049 0.000126 0.000253 0.000432 0.000685
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.625030e-08 8.907544e-06 0.000045 0.000124 0.000257 0.000447 0.000720
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.289190e-09 8.153221e-06 0.000045 0.000129 0.000273 0.000481 0.000779
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.904919e-06 0.000041 0.000125 0.000273 0.000491 0.000808
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.982619e-06 0.000039 0.000127 0.000284 0.000517 0.000858
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.612250e-06 0.000036 0.000124 0.000287 0.000531 0.000890
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.508761e-06 0.000033 0.000121 0.000289 0.000543 0.000922
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.354087e-06 0.000028 0.000114 0.000282 0.000544 0.000936
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.866712e-07 0.000026 0.000113 0.000287 0.000560 0.000973